The UK Defense Intelligence Reveals a Notable Reduction in Armoured Vehicle Attrition Rates in 2023
From February 24, 2022 to January 25 2024, russian Ground Forces (RGF) likely lost approximately 2,600 main battle tanks (MBTs) and 4,900 other armoured combat vehicles (ACVs) in Ukraine, the UK Defense Intelligence reports. RGF probably lost around 40% fewer vehicles in 2023 than in 2022. It is highly likely that the reduction in armoured vehicle attrition rates was due to the increasingly positional nature of the war in 2023 and because russia spent a significant proportion of the year in a defensive posture.
Since early October 2023, RGF have been on the offensive in the east of Ukraine. During this period, russian armoured vehicle losses have increased and the RGF have likely lost up to 365 MBTs and 700 ACVs but only achieved minor territorial gains. However, russia can probably generate at least 100 MBTs a month and therefore retains the capacity to replace battlefield losses and continue this level of offensive activity for the foreseeable future.
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